StockCV
Dollar Tree Inc. logo

Dollar Tree Inc.

Retail-Variety Stores

$118.64
+0.02%
Market cap $22.3B

Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree operates almost 9,000 small-box discount stores across the United States and Canada, offering roughly 85% of its merchandise under $2. The chain targets value-conscious suburban and urban shoppers with a mix of consumables (49% of sales), variety (45%), and seasonal goods (6%).

It is a $22.3B consumer company. Revenue shrank 15.7% over the last year, it keeps 8¢ of every dollar of sales as profit, and its net debt equals ~1.7 years of free cash flow. It trades at 13.8× earnings — near the lowest of its own history.

Location
Chesapeake, VA
Employees
153 032
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Founded
2024

Skills

Six independent scores, 0–100, built from reported numbers and valuation history. Click a row to see how it was scored.

Valuation100Growth0Profitability62Health60Quality90Moat68

Strong valuation and quality; Growth lags behind.

Valuation100
  • P/E vs own history4th pct · 25/25
  • FCF yield17.3% · 25/25
  • P/S1.1x · 25/25
  • EV/EBITDA8.3x · 25/25
Growth0
  • Revenue CAGR-9.0% · 0/25
  • Net income CAGR-5.6% · 0/25
  • EPS CAGR ~5Y-19.3% · 0/25
  • Fwd implied growth-5.2% · 0/25
Profitability62
  • ROIC12.0% · 12/25
  • ROE45.6% · 25/25
  • Net margin7.6% · 13/25
  • Operating margin11.1% · 12/25
Health60
  • Altman Z2.53 · 18/25
  • Current ratio1.13 · 12/25
  • Interest coverage20.1x · 25/25
  • Net cash / debtD/A 47% · 5/25
Quality90
  • Piotroski F5/9 · 15/25
  • Beneish M-3.87 · 25/25
  • FCF conversion103% · 25/25
  • Margin stabilityσ 2.7% · 25/25
Moat68
  • ROIC >12% years11/12 yrs · 25/25
  • Median gross margin30.9% · 13/25
  • FCF-positive years12/12 yrs · 25/25
  • Worst-year net marginworst -2.6% · 5/25

How the scores work →

Experience

The company's career so far — founding, the IPO, landmark products and acquisitions, plus revenue milestones and insider buying.

  1. 2024Founded
    A new format: the More Choices (internally known as a "3.0") was established, integrating the price points…
  2. 2024Acquisition
    Dollar Tree acquired the lease of 170 99 Cents Only Stores locations across all states it operated in,…
  3. FY2022Financial
    Best year on record
    $4.21B net income
  4. FY2016Financial
    First recorded profitable year
    $2.11B net income
  5. FY2016Financial
    Revenue already above $50B
    $51.0B in first reported year
  6. FY2016Financial
    Positive free cash flow every year since
    12-year streak
  7. 2015Acquisition
    The firm agreed to sell 330 stores to private equity company Sycamore Partners as part of the approval…
  8. Jul 28, 2014Acquisition
    Dollar Tree announced that a deal had been reached and approved by both parties to purchase Family…
  9. 2010Acquisition
    The corporation opened its 4,000th chain store and acquired 86 Canadian Dollar Giant stores which are based…
  10. 2006Acquisition
    Dollar Tree celebrated its 20th year of retailing at a $1.00 price point, opened its 3,000th store
  11. 2004Milestone
    Dollar Tree opened its first store in North Dakota which marked its operation of stores in all 48…
  12. 2003Acquisition
    Dollar Tree acquired Salt Lake City, Utah-based Greenbacks, Inc
  13. 1999Acquisition
    Dollar Tree acquired Only $One stores based in New York
  14. 1996Acquisition
    Dollar Tree acquired Dollar Bill$, Inc., a Chicago-based chain of 136 stores

Achievements

Verifiable track record, straight from the reported numbers.

$10 000 invested in 2021 would be worth ~$13 416 today — price return only
$14.8B revenue in FY2027
Profitable 3 years in a row
Positive free cash flow 12 years in a row
153 032 employees

Strengths & watch-outs

What a bull and a bear would each point to. Both lists come from the reported numbers, not opinions.

Strengths

  • Interest covered 20.1× by operating earnings

Watch-outs

  • Revenue shrinking 15.7% year over year
  • Net debt would take ~5.0 years of free cash flow to repay
  • Loss-making in 3 of the recent years

Qualifications

The basics a company should meet before you research it further. Each check uses the reported numbers.

8 of 10 checks passed
  • Revenue growing-15.7% YoY
  • Profitable$3.35B TTM
  • Profit growing-4.8% YoY
  • Generates cash$3.85B TTM
  • Debt under control~1.7y of cash flow to repay
  • Established company$22.3B market cap
  • Not printing shares-16.2% shares over ~5y
  • Proven track record10/12 profitable years
  • Financially stableAltman Z 2.5 — grey
  • Pays a dividendno data
  • Valuation not extremeP/E 13.8
Peer comparisonDollar Tree Inc. vs 6 largest consumer cyclical peers — cap, P/E, growth and margin side by sideOpen ▾
CompanyMarket capP/ERevenue growthNet marginProfile
DLTR this company$22.3B13.8-15.7%7.6%Solid
AMZN Amazon.Com Inc$2.8T20.9+15.8%17.4%Mixed
TSLA Tesla, Inc.$1.5T397.1+11.8%3.7%Strong
NFLX NetFlix Inc$292.8B21.4+16.0%28.2%Solid
HD Home Depot, Inc.$290.4B20.4-16.0%8.7%Solid
DIS The Walt Disney Company$186.5B21.7+4.6%8.7%Solid
MCD McDonald's Corporation$166.9B18.9+6.3%31.7%Strained

Head-to-head: DLTR vs AMZN · DLTR vs TSLA · DLTR vs NFLX

References

What covering analysts publish about the company — information only, not a recommendation.

Strong buy 3Buy 12Hold 16Sell 4

Appendix · Financial records

The full statements behind this CV, FY2016–FY2027. For readers who want to check the numbers.

Want the live picture — intraday moves, valuation history and full analysis?

Deeper analysis of DLTR on PreMarketPrice

Figures are derived from company filings (quarterly values normalised from as-filed year-to-date data where applicable) and may be delayed, restated or incomplete. This page is information, not investment advice. Latest price $118.64 · market cap $22.3B.